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7 Nov 20242 min readsitemanager

Indian IT sector optimistic about a possible Trump comeback ; Decrease in dependency on H1B visas?

With $254 billion in revenue last year, the Indian IT sector is not perturbed by Donald Trump's return to office after a four-year hiatus.

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With $254 billion in revenue last year, the Indian IT sector is not perturbed by Donald Trump's return to office after a four-year hiatus. The business is now more solid, less dependent on H1B visas, and developing the capacity to serve as a worldwide hub for worldwide Capability Centers (GCCs), notwithstanding difficulties encountered during Trump's prior administration.  The largest export destination for the Indian IT sector is the United States. It accounts for over 55% of the $200 billion in total IT-BPM exports from the nation. The industry estimates that it has progressed to a stage where it is less reliant on H1B visas, reaching $300 billion by 2030. The sector believes that political stability in the US after the election will result in a stronger US economy and higher IT spending. With around $200 billion in IT exports last year, the US continues to be the biggest market for the Indian IT sector. The National Association of Software and Services Companies, or Nasscom, has expressed its eagerness to improve the "dynamic tech partnership between our two nations" by collaborating closely with the incoming US Administration. “As the biggest and most established democracies, we are eager to work together in a number of fields, such as cybersecurity and artificial intelligence. The US is the largest market for India’s tech sector, contributing $80 billion to US GDP. Over 1,000 US companies operate in India,” it said. Trump's views on outsourcing and immigration were formerly a source of concern, but industry insiders say things have changed since then. Indian businesses have made strides in providing services and employing local talent for some positions, according to B V R Mohan Reddy, the former chairman of Nasscom and executive chairman of Cyient Limited. “We don’t depend much now on H1B visas. The Indian companies have graduated into the next level – not only in delivering services but also in attracting and finding the local employees for certain jobs. We also emerged as a global for Global Capability Centress which is encouraging more and more US companies to set up their GCCs in India,” he stated. Trump's views on people with strong education bode well for India, he said, despite his aversion to immigration from South America and to low-paying employment that are offered to foreigners. The business is also hopeful about the possibility of better bilateral commerce because of Trump and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi's cordial relationship. Moreover, market analysts contend that the performance of the IT industry has already taken into account the possibility of Trump's comeback. The market has already factored in this possibility, thus there is little chance of any immediate volatility, according to Narendra Solanki, Head of Fundamental Research-Investment Services at Anand Rathi Shares & Stock Brokers. As the crisis develops, the emphasis will probably move to sector-specific drivers and more general macroeconomic concerns.

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